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The Anti-Gay Vote

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Andrew Sullivan looks at the exit polls from Arizona’s defeat of an anti gay-union amendment.

“Women are marginally more in favor of gay unions than men — but it’s not that big a gender gap. Men split 50-50. Women broke 53 - 47 against a constitutional ban. The under-30s voted against the amendment by a whopping 61 to 39 percent. I expect in a decade or so that many of these amendments will be repealed by similar margins. Education is a key indicator of being anti-gay or not. Those with dropped out of high school favored the amendment by a huge 65 to 35 percent. Those who graduated college opposed it by a narrow margin. Post-grads were overwhelmingly opposed.”

“The only ethnic group to favor the amendment by a large margin was black, by 61 - 39 percent. Karl Rove’s attempt to peel off a few black votes by gay-bashing was not stupid. It was based on the data. African-Americans are easily the ethnic group most hostile toward gay rights. The reasons may have more to do with education and class than race. But black homophobia exists — as any inner-city resident knows only too well.”

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